|Through 2017 the major international visitor-generating markets will be driven by China in Asia, and the USA and Mexico in the Americas. Greater China – comprising China, Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong SAR and Macao SAR – is expected to generate more than 261 million international arrivals to the 39 Asia Pacific destinations covered in this report, an annual growth rate of 7.9 percent year-on-year and an incremental increase in absolute volume of over 19 million arrivals.
While annual percentage growth from Greater China into Asia will expand by a little under the average (7.8%), the destinations of Asia will capture 95 percent of the volume increase between 2016 and 2017 from these origin markets. The Americas will capture around 3.4 percent of that volume increase and the Pacific the remaining 1.6 percent.
Arrivals from Europe and Africa will each grow by 3.5 percent in 2017 year-on-year. While Africa is expected to generate just over three million arrivals in total during 2017, Europe will generate around 67.7 million arrivals to the destinations of Asia Pacific in that year.
From within the European origin markets the Russian Federation is expected to deliver the largest volume of additional arrivals into Asia Pacific in 2017, adding over 373,000 additional arrivals between 2016 and 2017 and doubling its collective inbound count to almost five million in that latter year. The United Kingdom and Germany, however, remain the principal generators of arrivals from Europe, delivering 14.9 million and 11.3 million arrivals respectively into Asia Pacific in 2017. France will deliver 7.1 million arrivals in 2017, ahead of the Russian Federation.
Australia is by far the largest generator of international arrivals from the Pacific into Asia Pacific destinations in 2017, delivering over 12 million arrivals during the course of the year, close to 620,000 more than in 2016.
Period visitor growth 2016 to 2021
By 2021 it will still be Greater China that generates the largest number international arrivals into Asia Pacific destinations, with mainland China and Hong Kong SAR specifically generating 164.6 million and 131.6 million arrivals into Asia Pacific destinations respectively in that year. They will be followed by the USA and the Republic of Korea which are expected to generate 47.9 million and 29.7 million arrivals respectively. Canada will rank fifth as an origin market, generating 25.4 million arrivals in 2021.